Primeira DivisãoPrimeira Divisão
Sunday, 19 July 202611:00Updated today
Benfica

Benfica

Home
L
vs
11:00
Universidade de Macau

Universidade de Macau

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
58% confidence
Benfica(58%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Benfica
58%
Draw
23%
Universidade de Macau
19%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Benfica
34
Universidade de Macau
9
Defence
Benfica
27
Universidade de Macau
66
Momentum
Benfica
0
Universidade de Macau
0
Danger (xG)
Benfica
0.90
Universidade de Macau
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Benfica)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Universidade de Macau)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Benfica)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Universidade de Macau)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
BenficaBenfica
L
Universidade de MacauUniversidade de Macau
LL

Probability breakdown

58% confidence
Benfica58%
Draw23%
Universidade de Macau19%

Benfica leads with 58% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Benfica head into this in Primeira Divisão fixture in mixed form (L), while Universidade de Macau arrive in mixed form (L). Benfica have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Universidade de Macau over 1 games.

The model rates Benfica's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 Universidade de Macau defence, and Universidade de Macau's attack at 9/100 against a 27/100 Benfica backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Benfica have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Universidade de Macau have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Benfica and Universidade de Macau in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Benfica to win with 58% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Benfica 5752%, Draw 2328%, Universidade de Macau 1920%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Benfica

Benfica

L
@ Shao Jiang
26 Jul 2025
12
Universidade de Macau

Universidade de Macau

L
@ Shao Jiang
7 Aug 2025
01
L
vs Shao Jiang
29 Jun 2025
34

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Benfica vs Universidade de Macau?

GoalVio's model predicts Benfica to win with 58% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Benfica vs Universidade de Macau?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Benfica vs Universidade de Macau?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Benfica vs Universidade de Macau?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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