Benficavs
Lech Poznan
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 06:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Benfica
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Benfica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BenficaWWWDD
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lech PoznanDWWWW
GF 18 · GA 2 · avg 3.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
BenficaLech Poznan
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence83.3
72.2Form83.3
76.0Power83.4
1.71xG1.36