Benficavs
Heart Of Midlothian
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Benfica are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Heart Of Midlothian are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Benfica hold a 49.5-point power-rating edge (69.5 v 20.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Benfica holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Benfica
Probability
72.7%
Model confidence
72.7%
Benfica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80