Primeira DivisãoPrimeira Divisão
Saturday, 25 July 202612:00Last updated 10:05
Benfica

Benfica

Home
L
45
Full time
Hang Sai

Hang Sai

Away
LWLWL
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Benfica(44%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Benfica
44%
Draw
24%
Hang Sai
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Benfica
34
Hang Sai
98
Defence
Benfica
27
Hang Sai
16
Momentum
Benfica
0
Hang Sai
40
Danger (xG)
Benfica
0.90
Hang Sai
3.24
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Benfica)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Hang Sai)
3.24
avg per match
xG against (Benfica)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Hang Sai)
2.16
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
BenficaBenfica
L
Hang SaiHang Sai
LWLWL

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Benfica44%
Draw24%
Hang Sai31%

Benfica leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Benfica head into this in Primeira Divisão fixture in mixed form (L), while Hang Sai arrive struggling for consistency (LWLWL). Benfica have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 40% for Hang Sai over 5 games.

The model rates Benfica's attack at 34/100 against a 16/100 Hang Sai defence, and Hang Sai's attack at 98/100 against a 27/100 Benfica backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Benfica have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Hang Sai have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Benfica and Hang Sai in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Benfica to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Benfica 4418%, Draw 2448%, Hang Sai 3134%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Benfica

Benfica

L
@ Shao Jiang
26 Jul 2025
12
Hang Sai

Hang Sai

L
vs Shao Jiang
26 Jun 2026
25
W
@ Sporting Macau
3 Aug 2025
31
L
@ Jia Hua
27 Jul 2025
13
W
vs Lun Lok
19 Jul 2025
120
L
vs Chiba
12 Jul 2025
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Benfica vs Hang Sai?

GoalVio's model predicts Benfica to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Benfica vs Hang Sai?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Benfica vs Hang Sai?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Benfica vs Hang Sai?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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