Benficavs
AZ Alkmaar
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/28/2027, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 06:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Benfica
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Benfica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BenficaWWWDD
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AZ AlkmaarWWWWW
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BenficaAZ Alkmaar
100.0Attack58.3
66.7Defence47.2
72.2Form50.0
76.0Power53.5
2.46xG1.19