Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Benfica 3-1 Aarhus
Original prediction
Benfica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Benfica
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Benfica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BenficaWDDWW
GF 21 · GA 4 · avg 4.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AarhusLLWDW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
BenficaAarhus
100.0Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
58.3Form50.0
69.5Power50.0
2.02xG1.09