Benfica U23vs
Academico Viseu U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 9/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Academico Viseu U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Benfica U23 1-2 Academico Viseu U23
Original prediction
Academico Viseu U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 34.1% | 36.4% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.8% | 25.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 39.1% | 37.9% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Academico Viseu U23
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Academico Viseu U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60