GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 8/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Benfica B · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Benfica B are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Portimonense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Benfica B hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 41.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Segunda Liga, while Benfica B holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Benfica B

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

12.9%

Benfica B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Benfica BWLLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PortimonenseWWDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Benfica BPortimonense
47.1Attack37.3
52.9Defence47.1
44.1Form33.3
49.8Power41.1
1.64xG0.93
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