Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Benfica B

Benfica B

Home
D
40
Full time
Mérida AD

Mérida AD

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Mérida AD33%
Benfica B33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Benfica B
33%
Draw
33%
Mérida AD
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Benfica B
34
Mérida AD
34
Defence
Benfica B
66
Mérida AD
66
Momentum
Benfica B
33
Mérida AD
33
Danger (xG)
Benfica B
0.90
Mérida AD
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Benfica B)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Mérida AD)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Benfica B)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Mérida AD)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Benfica BBenfica B
DL
Mérida ADMérida AD
D

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Benfica B33%
Draw33%
Mérida AD33%

Mérida AD leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Benfica B head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (D), while Mérida AD arrive in mixed form (D). Benfica B have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Mérida AD over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Benfica B (66/100) and Mérida AD (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Benfica B have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Mérida AD have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Benfica B and Mérida AD in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Benfica B 3333%, Draw 3333%, Mérida AD 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Benfica B

Benfica B

D
vs Lusitano Évora 1911
15 Jul 2026
11
L
@ FC Porto B
15 May 2026
02
Mérida AD

Mérida AD

D
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
17 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Benfica B vs Mérida AD?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Benfica B vs Mérida AD?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Benfica B vs Mérida AD?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Benfica B vs Mérida AD?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more