Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica B · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Benfica B are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Mafra are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.8 against 49.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Segunda Liga, while Benfica B holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Benfica B
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Benfica B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50