Benfica Bvs
Felgueiras 1932
COMPLETEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 10/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica B · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Benfica B 0-0 Felgueiras 1932, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Benfica B 1-0 Felgueiras 1932
Original prediction
Benfica B
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.7% | 43.2% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 29.0% | 30.6% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.2% | 26.1% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Projected Score
Benfica B 0–0 Felgueiras 1932
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Benfica B
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Benfica B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Benfica BWLLDW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Felgueiras 1932WLLWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Benfica BFelgueiras 1932
38.9Attack27.8
72.2Defence66.7
55.6Form33.3
56.8Power45.6
1.05xG0.63