GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone C · 9/11/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Benevento · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Benevento are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Virtus Francavilla are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Benevento hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Serie C - Girone C, while Benevento holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Benevento

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Benevento has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BeneventoLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Virtus FrancavillaL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
BeneventoVirtus Francavilla
39.5Attack26.3
71.1Defence56.1
57.9Form30.7
57.8Power40.0
1.18xG0.39
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