Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benevento · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Benevento are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Giugliano are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Benevento hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Benevento holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Benevento
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Benevento has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80