GGOALVIO

Italy · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/24/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Benevento U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Benevento U19 5-2 Avellino U19

Original prediction

Benevento U19

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8150.3%46.3%-4.0 pts
Draw3.8123.8%25.9%2.1 pts
Away3.5125.9%27.8%1.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Benevento U19

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Benevento U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Benevento U19DWWLW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Avellino U19LLWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Benevento U19Avellino U19
93.3Attack60.0
66.7Defence60.0
66.7Form60.0
71.7Power61.3
2.06xG1.26
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