GGOALVIO

Algeria · Ligue 1 · 10/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ben Aknoun · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ben Aknoun 2-2 JS El Biar

Original prediction

Ben Aknoun

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0942.7%42.0%-0.7 pts
Draw2.8531.4%29.7%-1.7 pts
Away3.4525.9%28.3%2.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

Ben Aknoun

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Ben Aknoun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ben AknounDDWDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
JS El BiarWLL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
Ben AknounJS El Biar
44.4Attack44.4
66.7Defence55.6
55.6Form33.3
59.1Power42.7
1.27xG0.90
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