Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beltinci · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Beltinci are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mura are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Beltinci hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Beltinci holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beltinci
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Beltinci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20