Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beltinci · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Beltinci 2-0 Krka, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Beltinci 3-0 Krka
Original prediction
Beltinci
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.3% | 54.3% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.7% | 24.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 5.27 | 17.0% | 20.9% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Projected Score
Beltinci 2–0 Krka
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Beltinci
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Beltinci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BeltinciWDWLW
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KrkaLWWLL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BeltinciKrka
61.1Attack35.6
72.2Defence43.3
66.7Form32.2
66.9Power38.8
2.43xG0.50