Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beltinci · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beltinci 5-1 Bilje
Original prediction
Beltinci
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 69.4% | 48.3% | -21.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.93 | 18.1% | 25.4% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 7.17 | 12.5% | 26.4% | 13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Beltinci
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Beltinci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BeltinciWWWDW
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BiljeWLLWW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BeltinciBilje
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence16.7
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power42.7
1.75xG1.29