Belshinavs
Slavia Mozyr
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 10/19/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slavia Mozyr · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Belshina 2-4 Slavia Mozyr
Original prediction
Slavia Mozyr
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.12 | 29.3% | 30.4% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.9% | 28.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.8% | 41.5% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Slavia Mozyr
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Slavia Mozyr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40