Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neman · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Belshina 0-1 Neman, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Belshina 2-2 Neman
Original prediction
Neman
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.89 | 15.7% | 20.8% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 24.1% | 28.1% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 1.53 | 60.3% | 51.1% | -9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.2 pts
Projected Score
Belshina 0–1 Neman
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Neman
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Neman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BelshinaDLWDL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NemanWWWLD
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BelshinaNeman
29.2Attack33.3
35.4Defence66.7
25.0Form43.8
32.1Power49.9
0.59xG1.24