Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Minsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Belshina 2-0 FC Minsk
Original prediction
FC Minsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.05 | 22.4% | 17.1% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.7% | 22.7% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 49.9% | 60.2% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
FC Minsk
Probability
60.2%
Model confidence
60.2%
FC Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BelshinaDDDLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
FC MinskWWLLL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BelshinaFC Minsk
29.2Attack47.9
35.4Defence56.3
25.0Form52.1
32.1Power53.3
0.77xG1.80