Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Belshina 2-0 Arsenal
Original prediction
Arsenal
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Arsenal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BelshinaDLDLL
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ArsenalLLLLW
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BelshinaArsenal
28.9Attack37.0
33.3Defence46.3
24.4Form38.9
31.1Power43.1
0.96xG1.40