GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/5/2025, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Weston Bears are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaLLLDW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Weston BearsWWWDL

GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Belmont SwanseaWeston Bears
71.4Attack76.2
34.9Defence47.6
55.6Form63.5
55.7Power62.4
2.42xG2.84
View match centre →