Belmont Swanseavs
Weston Bears
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/5/2025, 5:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Belmont Swansea are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Weston Bears are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weston Bears
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40