GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 7/27/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Wallsend Red Devils are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 73.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the NNSW League 1, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

59.8%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Wallsend Red DevilsLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 20 · avg 0.40/4.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Belmont SwanseaWallsend Red Devils
100.0Attack100.0
68.1Defence51.9
77.8Form74.1
77.9Power73.5
2.96xG1.63
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