GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 3/29/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Wallsend Red Devils are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 73.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the NNSW League 1, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

59.8%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaWWWWW

GF 23 · GA 2 · avg 4.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Wallsend Red DevilsLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Belmont SwanseaWallsend Red Devils
100.0Attack100.0
68.1Defence51.9
77.8Form74.1
77.9Power73.5
2.96xG1.63
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