GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Valentine are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

69.3%

Model confidence

69.3%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaDWWDW

GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ValentineWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Belmont SwanseaValentine
71.4Attack34.9
34.9Defence38.1
55.6Form39.7
55.7Power40.1
3.05xG1.22
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