GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 5/18/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Toronto Awaba Stags are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 45.5-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.6% in the NNSW League 1, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

90.6%

Model confidence

90.6%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaWWLWW

GF 22 · GA 8 · avg 4.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Toronto Awaba StagsDDLWW

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Belmont SwanseaToronto Awaba Stags
100.0Attack42.6
68.1Defence20.4
77.8Form25.9
77.9Power32.3
4.50xG0.68
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