GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 7/14/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Thornton Redbacks are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.2% in the NNSW League 1, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

88.2%

Model confidence

88.2%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Thornton RedbacksLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Belmont SwanseaThornton Redbacks
100.0Attack52.2
68.1Defence26.1
77.8Form36.2
77.9Power39.1
4.50xG0.85
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