Belmont Swanseavs
Thornton Redbacks
COMPLETEDAustralia · NNSW League 1 · 7/14/2024, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Belmont Swansea are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Thornton Redbacks are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.2% in the NNSW League 1, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Belmont Swansea
Probability
88.2%
Model confidence
88.2%
Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20