GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 3/20/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 5.75 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Thornton Redbacks are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (DWWD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.2% in the NNSW League 1, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

88.2%

Model confidence

88.2%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaWWWW

GF 23 · GA 4 · avg 5.75/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 4/4
Thornton RedbacksDWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Belmont SwanseaThornton Redbacks
100.0Attack52.2
68.1Defence26.1
77.8Form36.2
77.9Power39.1
4.50xG0.85
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