GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 6/4/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while South Cardiff are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 44.6-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.1% in the NNSW League 1, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

92.1%

Model confidence

92.1%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaWDWWL

GF 18 · GA 9 · avg 3.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
South CardiffLDWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Belmont SwanseaSouth Cardiff
100.0Attack27.8
68.1Defence38.9
77.8Form24.1
77.9Power33.2
4.21xG0.48
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