GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/19/2025, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while New Lambton are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 32.1-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.8% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

81.8%

Model confidence

81.8%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
New LambtonLLDWL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Belmont SwanseaNew Lambton
71.4Attack37.9
34.9Defence7.6
55.6Form18.2
55.7Power23.6
4.50xG1.26
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