GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/16/2025, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Maitland are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MaitlandWLDDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Belmont SwanseaMaitland
71.4Attack60.3
34.9Defence50.8
55.6Form61.9
55.7Power60.0
2.29xG2.24
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