GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/13/2025, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaLLLLW

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lambton JaffasWLLLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Belmont SwanseaLambton Jaffas
71.4Attack57.1
34.9Defence47.6
55.6Form34.9
55.7Power46.2
2.56xG2.02
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