GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Hamilton Olympic are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaWWDLL

GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hamilton OlympicLDDLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Belmont SwanseaHamilton Olympic
71.4Attack61.9
34.9Defence39.7
55.6Form33.3
55.7Power44.3
2.96xG2.18
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