GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/10/2025, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hamilton Olympic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaWDLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hamilton OlympicLWLDW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Belmont SwanseaHamilton Olympic
71.4Attack61.9
34.9Defence39.7
55.6Form33.3
55.7Power44.3
2.96xG2.18
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