GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/27/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Charlestown City Blues are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

81.0%

Model confidence

9.3%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaDLLWW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Charlestown City BluesWDWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Belmont SwanseaCharlestown City Blues
71.4Attack39.7
34.9Defence14.3
55.6Form22.2
55.7Power28.4
4.38xG1.34
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