GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/29/2025, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Charlestown City Blues are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

79.7%

Model confidence

79.7%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaLLWDW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Charlestown City BluesLDDDW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Belmont SwanseaCharlestown City Blues
71.4Attack39.7
34.9Defence14.3
55.6Form22.2
55.7Power28.4
4.38xG1.34
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