GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 6/15/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cessnock City Hornets are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 38.7-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.8% in the NNSW League 1, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

87.8%

Model confidence

87.8%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaDWWDW

GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Cessnock City HornetsLLDLW

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Belmont SwanseaCessnock City Hornets
100.0Attack53.7
68.1Defence25.9
77.8Form33.3
77.9Power39.1
4.50xG0.88
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