GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 2/13/2025, 8:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

63.7%

Model confidence

63.7%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaLWWLW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Adamstown RosebudsLLLLL

GF 0 · GA 16 · avg 0.00/3.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Belmont SwanseaAdamstown Rosebuds
71.4Attack49.2
34.9Defence31.7
55.6Form33.3
55.7Power40.1
3.38xG1.72
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