GGOALVIO

Bellinzona logoBellinzonavsFC WIL 1900 logoFC WIL 1900

COMPLETED

Switzerland · Challenge League · 7/23/2023, 12:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bellinzona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bellinzona are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.50 conceded, while FC WIL 1900 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 9 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bellinzona hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Challenge League, while Bellinzona holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bellinzona

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Bellinzona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BellinzonaLLLW

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.75/2.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
FC WIL 1900LDWDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
BellinzonaFC WIL 1900
36.1Attack66.7
53.7Defence0.0
38.9Form33.3
44.5Power35.0
1.44xG1.38
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