Bellinzonavs
FC Aarau
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 8/13/2023, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bellinzona are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Aarau are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.5 against 43.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the Challenge League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.2%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40