Bellinzonavs
Brühl
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · 10/21/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brühl · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bellinzona 2-0 Brühl
Original prediction
Brühl
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.08 | 29.2% | 20.4% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.1% | 23.1% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 44.7% | 56.6% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Brühl
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Brühl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60