Bellinzonavs
Breitenrain
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Breitenrain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bellinzona 2-2 Breitenrain
Original prediction
Breitenrain
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 42.9% | 33.6% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.2% | 28.2% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 31.9% | 38.2% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Breitenrain
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Breitenrain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60