GGOALVIO

Switzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · 8/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bellinzona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Bellinzona are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Basel II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bellinzona hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the 1. Liga Promotion, while Bellinzona holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bellinzona

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

9.3%

Bellinzona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BellinzonaLDLLL

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Basel IILWLWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BellinzonaBasel II
50.0Attack56.9
50.0Defence41.2
50.0Form40.2
50.0Power46.8
2.07xG1.66
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