Bellinzonavs
Basel II
SCHEDULEDSwitzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · 8/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bellinzona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bellinzona are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Basel II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bellinzona hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the 1. Liga Promotion, while Bellinzona holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bellinzona
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
9.3%
Bellinzona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80