Belizevs
St. Vincent / Grenadines
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 9/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Belize · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Belize 0-1 St. Vincent / Grenadines
Original prediction
Belize
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 34.1% | 37.4% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.9% | 27.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 38.1% | 35.4% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Belize
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Belize has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40