Belizevs
French Guyana
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 10/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Belize · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Belize 0-2 French Guyana
Original prediction
Belize
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 31.1% | 37.3% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.5% | 28.1% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.4% | 34.6% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Belize
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Belize has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80