GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 5/18/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Belgrano Zarate are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SAT Moreno are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belgrano ZarateLWDWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SAT MorenoWLLDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Belgrano ZarateSAT Moreno
25.0Attack50.0
80.6Defence86.7
47.2Form80.0
53.5Power72.9
0.36xG0.70
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