GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/22/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belgrano Zarate · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Belgrano Zarate are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Provincial are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Belgrano Zarate hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Belgrano Zarate holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belgrano Zarate

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

57.0%

Belgrano Zarate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belgrano ZarateWDLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ProvincialDDWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Belgrano ZarateProvincial
25.0Attack23.3
80.6Defence26.7
47.2Form23.3
53.5Power26.7
1.24xG0.29
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