GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/8/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Belgrano Zarate are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Nautico Hacoaj are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nautico Hacoaj hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

59.4%

Model confidence

59.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belgrano ZarateLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Nautico HacoajWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Belgrano ZarateNautico Hacoaj
25.0Attack33.3
80.6Defence84.8
47.2Form54.5
53.5Power58.9
0.38xG0.45
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