GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 5/5/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belgrano Zarate · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Belgrano Zarate are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Juventud de Bernal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Belgrano Zarate hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 18.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.2% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Belgrano Zarate holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belgrano Zarate

Probability

58.2%

Model confidence

58.2%

Belgrano Zarate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belgrano ZarateDWLDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Juventud de BernalWLLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Belgrano ZarateJuventud de Bernal
25.0Attack20.0
80.6Defence6.7
47.2Form13.3
53.5Power18.4
1.27xG0.29
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